Three possible triggers of the next recession

While we expect the global outlook to improve over the next few years, the situation remains fragile. Watch our video to discover the key risks to growth in an increasingly uncertain world

It's now been five years since the end of the technical recession in the United States. But whilst our outlook remains positive for the next few years, a number of major economies including the US, Japan, Germany, Italy and Russia have experienced at least one quarter of contraction this year.  

Here Ed Rawle, our chief economist, outlines the main risks that could threaten global growth in the future:

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Q3 2014 Macroeconomics Update: Three possible triggers of the next recession [Subscription required]
Macroeconomic country reports – including our China provincial analysis [Subscription required]

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